-BO- wrote:
The problem with your logic is that the schedules are imbalanced when comparing teams in different divisions. Except within the division where each division team has 14 common opponents in 16 games. Only two different teams, pretty damn close to equal. So you've got all teams within a division playing basically the same schedule and the best team gets to host a playoff game.
And so in the NFC West in 2010 or the AFC West in 2011, all these common opponents failed to produce a team better than 8-8. Yet, according to your logic, they "deserve" to host a team that had a far better W-L but had the misfortune of having one of the NFL's strongest teams in their own division.
I'm aware that schedules, in all sports, are unequal. But the better team should have the playoff advantage, and the best way of determining that would be the regular-season record, perhaps with a tiebreaker indicative of schedule strength.
-BO- wrote:
You're trying to rank apples and oranges on the same scale and it just won't work. Understanding exactly how the nfl schedule is constructed makes understanding this concept much easier.
No, I'm ranking football games with football games. It should work just fine.
As for the schedule strength of the Seahawks (124-132) vs. the Saints (120-136), I'm frankly surprised, but the records are very similar. If you exclude the Seahawks from their opponents records and exclude the Saints from their oppenents records, the oppenents would then be an identical 115-125. But the Saints still won four more games, most likely due to being a better team and should, in my opinion, have stayed home against the Seahawks.
-- RWM